Refinance demand for Mortgages Surges by 19% following a Drop in Rates to the Lowest Levels since July

Homeowners seeking to refinance are experiencing savings as mortgage rates dropped again last week.

An aerial view of existing homes near new homes under construction (UPPER R) in the Chatsworth neighborhood on September 08, 2023 in Los Angeles, California

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) declined to 7.07% from 7.17%, with points decreasing to 0.59 from 0.60 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment, as reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association. This marks the lowest level since July.

"Mortgage rates dropped last week, as incoming data point to a slowing economy and support a pivot by the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates next year," stated Mike Fratantoni, MBA senior vice president and chief economist.

Consequently, applications to refinance a home loan increased by 19% last week compared to the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Refinance demand was 27% higher than the same week one year ago.

"Borrowers who had seen rates near 8% earlier this fall are now seeing some lenders quote rates below 7%. Refinance volume picked up in response to this drop in rates, with a particularly notable increase for FHA and VA refinance applications," Fratantoni added.

Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home increased by 4% for the week, although they remain 18% lower than the same week last year. Despite the advantage of lower mortgage rates for today's homebuyers, the market is characterized by fierce competition, high prices, and a limited inventory of homes for sale.

Mortgage rates have shown little movement this week, with economic data aligning with expectations. The outcome of the latest Federal Reserve meeting and comments from Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday could potentially influence this trend. Market expectations anticipate the Fed to maintain its benchmark rate, with potential cuts anticipated for the following year.

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